• Re: Science fiction is fictional - who knew?

    From Lawrence D?Oliveiro@3:633/10 to All on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 21:42:42
    Apropos:

    Isn't it interesting that the same people who laugh at science fiction
    listen to weather forecasts and economists?
    -- Kelvin Throop III

    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Lynn McGuire@3:633/10 to All on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 16:28:43
    On 2/20/2026 3:53 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Tony Nance wrote:

    An article I just ran across
    https://bigthink.com/books/science-fiction-mars/

    Titled
    "Science fiction blinded us to the perils of settling Mars"

    With an immediate by-line of:
    "Science fiction romanticized Mars as a place of adventure and future
    settlement; science tells a very different story."

    In which the author and his main source tell us that Science Fiction
    has Mars all wrong.

    Wow, talk about low hanging fruit.˙ But I suspect his rent was due.

    Even˙ the children's science books I read many decades ago made it clear that 99% of the science fiction versions of Mars were far too optimistic.

    And even those books erred on the side of habitability.˙ There was some emphasis on the fact that equatorial temperatures could reach 80F, and
    the atmospheric pressure given was well above the actual value.˙ The poisonous soil was of course not known.

    In 1990 a writer in the British Interplanetary Society journal estimated that a decent atmosphere and hydrosphere could be produced with ten
    thousand properly placed 10mt bombs.˙ I'm not entirely sure any longer
    what he meant by decent.˙ A fifth of an atmosphere, at a guess.

    If this is so, the atmosphere would indeed leak away into space, but on
    a timescale that is very slow compared to the human one.˙ It would not
    be necessary, as the article implies, to continue to bombard the planet
    with nuclear weapons.˙ The atmosphere could be maintained with less
    drastic but still enormously expensive means.˙ Which opens the way for a Leigh Brackett story about people dwelling on a cooling and drying post- technological Mars...

    But getting the temperature up to the point that liquid water won't all condense in ice caps is also a difficult problem. The CO2 levels
    required are very toxic.˙ We need a molecule which is strongly absorbing
    in the IR, chemically neutral, and which does not disassociate into something damaging in the upper atmosphere when struck by UV radiation.

    A gigatonne or so of that in the atmosphere, and all we have to worry
    about is radioactive waste from the bombardment and˙ the poisonous soil.

    All in all it would be easier to move Mars closer to the sun.˙ Then deal with the soil.˙ Might not be possible for a little while.

    William Hyde

    KSR, Kim Stanley Robinson, wants to hit Mars with a comet or five to up
    the water in the atmosphere. That sounds much to me than a bunch of
    nuclear bombs.

    Lynn


    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Lynn McGuire@3:633/10 to All on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 16:36:12
    On 2/24/2026 4:28 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/20/2026 3:53 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Tony Nance wrote:

    An article I just ran across
    https://bigthink.com/books/science-fiction-mars/

    Titled
    "Science fiction blinded us to the perils of settling Mars"

    With an immediate by-line of:
    "Science fiction romanticized Mars as a place of adventure and future
    settlement; science tells a very different story."

    In which the author and his main source tell us that Science Fiction
    has Mars all wrong.

    Wow, talk about low hanging fruit.˙ But I suspect his rent was due.

    Even˙ the children's science books I read many decades ago made it
    clear that 99% of the science fiction versions of Mars were far too
    optimistic.

    And even those books erred on the side of habitability.˙ There was
    some emphasis on the fact that equatorial temperatures could reach
    80F, and the atmospheric pressure given was well above the actual
    value.˙ The poisonous soil was of course not known.

    In 1990 a writer in the British Interplanetary Society journal
    estimated that a decent atmosphere and hydrosphere could be produced
    with ten thousand properly placed 10mt bombs.˙ I'm not entirely sure
    any longer what he meant by decent.˙ A fifth of an atmosphere, at a
    guess.

    If this is so, the atmosphere would indeed leak away into space, but
    on a timescale that is very slow compared to the human one.˙ It would
    not be necessary, as the article implies, to continue to bombard the
    planet with nuclear weapons.˙ The atmosphere could be maintained with
    less drastic but still enormously expensive means.˙ Which opens the
    way for a Leigh Brackett story about people dwelling on a cooling and
    drying post- technological Mars...

    But getting the temperature up to the point that liquid water won't
    all condense in ice caps is also a difficult problem. The CO2 levels
    required are very toxic.˙ We need a molecule which is strongly
    absorbing in the IR, chemically neutral, and which does not
    disassociate into something damaging in the upper atmosphere when
    struck by UV radiation.

    A gigatonne or so of that in the atmosphere, and all we have to worry
    about is radioactive waste from the bombardment and˙ the poisonous soil.

    All in all it would be easier to move Mars closer to the sun.˙ Then
    deal with the soil.˙ Might not be possible for a little while.

    William Hyde

    KSR, Kim Stanley Robinson, wants to hit Mars with a comet or five to up
    the water in the atmosphere.˙ That sounds much to me than a bunch of
    nuclear bombs.

    Lynn

    Sigh. Just one missing word and the thought is gone.

    ^That sounds much to me than a bunch of nuclear bombs.^That sounds much
    better to me than a bunch of nuclear bombs.

    Lynn


    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Lawrence D?Oliveiro@3:633/10 to All on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 00:03:30
    On Tue, 24 Feb 2026 16:36:12 -0600, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/24/2026 4:28 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    KSR, Kim Stanley Robinson, wants to hit Mars with a comet or five
    to up the water in the atmosphere.˙ That sounds much to me than a
    bunch of nuclear bombs.

    Sigh. Just one missing word and the thought is gone.

    That?s OK. I what you meant.

    It happens to all of us. ;)

    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Tony Nance@3:633/10 to All on Thursday, February 26, 2026 16:44:44
    On 2/20/26 8:34 PM, Dimensional Traveler wrote:
    On 2/20/2026 1:06 PM, Tony Nance wrote:

    An article I just ran across
    https://bigthink.com/books/science-fiction-mars/

    Titled
    "Science fiction blinded us to the perils of settling Mars"

    With an immediate by-line of:
    "Science fiction romanticized Mars as a place of adventure and future
    settlement; science tells a very different story."

    In which the author and his main source tell us that Science Fiction
    has Mars all wrong.

    A lot of it isn't that "Science Fiction" got it wrong, it that the
    reality is just too boring for a good story.


    I completely agree. Of course, this is not an angle or approach that the article took.

    Seemingly a coincidence, I found a similar-themed article on space.com
    just a few days later: https://www.space.com/entertainment/space-movies-shows/can-you-really-survive-on-mars-what-science-fiction-gets-wrong-about-off-world-living

    Tony

    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From William Hyde@3:633/10 to All on Thursday, February 26, 2026 17:19:21
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/20/2026 3:53 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Tony Nance wrote:

    An article I just ran across
    https://bigthink.com/books/science-fiction-mars/

    Titled
    "Science fiction blinded us to the perils of settling Mars"

    With an immediate by-line of:
    "Science fiction romanticized Mars as a place of adventure and future
    settlement; science tells a very different story."

    In which the author and his main source tell us that Science Fiction
    has Mars all wrong.

    Wow, talk about low hanging fruit.˙ But I suspect his rent was due.

    Even˙ the children's science books I read many decades ago made it
    clear that 99% of the science fiction versions of Mars were far too
    optimistic.

    And even those books erred on the side of habitability.˙ There was
    some emphasis on the fact that equatorial temperatures could reach
    80F, and the atmospheric pressure given was well above the actual
    value.˙ The poisonous soil was of course not known.

    In 1990 a writer in the British Interplanetary Society journal
    estimated that a decent atmosphere and hydrosphere could be produced
    with ten thousand properly placed 10mt bombs.˙ I'm not entirely sure
    any longer what he meant by decent.˙ A fifth of an atmosphere, at a
    guess.

    If this is so, the atmosphere would indeed leak away into space, but
    on a timescale that is very slow compared to the human one.˙ It would
    not be necessary, as the article implies, to continue to bombard the
    planet with nuclear weapons.˙ The atmosphere could be maintained with
    less drastic but still enormously expensive means.˙ Which opens the
    way for a Leigh Brackett story about people dwelling on a cooling and
    drying post- technological Mars...

    But getting the temperature up to the point that liquid water won't
    all condense in ice caps is also a difficult problem. The CO2 levels
    required are very toxic.˙ We need a molecule which is strongly
    absorbing in the IR, chemically neutral, and which does not
    disassociate into something damaging in the upper atmosphere when
    struck by UV radiation.

    A gigatonne or so of that in the atmosphere, and all we have to worry
    about is radioactive waste from the bombardment and˙ the poisonous soil.

    All in all it would be easier to move Mars closer to the sun.˙ Then
    deal with the soil.˙ Might not be possible for a little while.

    William Hyde

    KSR, Kim Stanley Robinson, wants to hit Mars with a comet or five to up
    the water in the atmosphere.˙ That sounds much to me than a bunch of
    nuclear bombs.

    It does, but:

    We are nearly in a position to use the bombs, we are nowhere near able
    to push comets around.

    The amount of water in ice and permafrost is more than the equivalent of
    a thousand comets. Deeper reservoirs may add more.

    Alas, both methods are likely to result in a dust-induced cold snap that
    will freeze the water long before any greenhouse effect can warm the planet.

    I think that if there is a solution other than an artificial sun or
    moving the planet it must be chemical. Flood the place with greenhouse
    gases - even toxic ones. Add vast amounts of CFC, which is an excellent absorber of IR.

    And as we haven't tried yet, I feel that we could make a non-toxic IR
    absorber that does a better job than CFCs, and is more stable under UV bombardment.

    It won't be cheap to make and deliver a gigaton or ten of it. By the
    time any civilization has the spare cash to do this, they probably won't
    care much about planets.

    William Hyde


    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Michael F. Stemper@3:633/10 to All on Friday, February 27, 2026 14:20:27
    On 21/02/2026 17.50, Lawrence D?Oliveiro wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Feb 2026 17:10:17 -0500, William Hyde wrote:

    Alas, the mass of the entire asteroid belt is not enough to
    significantly increase the mass of Mars.

    I can remember some SF stories suggesting that the Asteroid Belt is
    the debris left over from a planet which was destroyed in an ancient
    war.
    Lots of them, some war, some other. But the idea first came from Johannes Kepler,
    who, in 1596, said:

    "Inter Jovem et Martem Planetam Interposui"

    --
    Michael F. Stemper
    A preposition is something you should never end a sentence with.


    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Tony Nance@3:633/10 to All on Friday, February 27, 2026 17:06:50
    On 2/27/26 3:20 PM, Michael F. Stemper wrote:
    On 21/02/2026 17.50, Lawrence D?Oliveiro wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Feb 2026 17:10:17 -0500, William Hyde wrote:

    Alas, the mass of the entire asteroid belt is not enough to
    significantly increase the mass of Mars.

    I can remember some SF stories suggesting that the Asteroid Belt is
    the debris left over from a planet which was destroyed in an ancient
    war.
    Lots of them, some war, some other. But the idea first came from
    Johannes Kepler,
    who, in 1596, said:

    ˙ "Inter Jovem et Martem Planetam Interposui"


    Ah, neat, Latin?I?m a little rusty, but that?s probably something like:
    ?In the meantime (or maybe interim), Jove and Mars planted posies
    between them?
    Which, given the historical origins/borrowing, is likely referring to an episode involving Zeus and Ares in Greek mythology, maybe involving
    someone?s wedding, or funeral.

    Tony ;)


    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)
  • From Paul S Person@3:633/10 to All on Saturday, February 28, 2026 08:42:26
    On Fri, 27 Feb 2026 17:06:50 -0500, Tony Nance <tnusenet17@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 2/27/26 3:20 PM, Michael F. Stemper wrote:
    On 21/02/2026 17.50, Lawrence D?Oliveiro wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Feb 2026 17:10:17 -0500, William Hyde wrote:

    Alas, the mass of the entire asteroid belt is not enough to
    significantly increase the mass of Mars.

    I can remember some SF stories suggesting that the Asteroid Belt is
    the debris left over from a planet which was destroyed in an ancient
    war.
    Lots of them, some war, some other. But the idea first came from
    Johannes Kepler,
    who, in 1596, said:

    ? "Inter Jovem et Martem Planetam Interposui"


    Ah, neat, Latin?I?m a little rusty, but that?s probably something
    like:
    ?In the meantime (or maybe interim), Jove and Mars planted posies
    between them?
    Which, given the historical origins/borrowing, is likely referring to an

    episode involving Zeus and Ares in Greek mythology, maybe involving >someone?s wedding, or funeral.

    You are more than a /little/ rusty, but that was fun to read.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- PyGate Linux v1.5.12
    * Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)